Experts uncertain about Tokyo bid | The Japan Times
The outlook for Tokyo as host of the 2020 Olympics is not so sunny at the moment. Tokyo seemed to be the front-runner over the summer but with the Fukushima nuclear disaster continuing like a drunk uncle determined to ruin a family reunion it seems the International Olympic Committee will favor staying elsewhere for the next sports holidays.
I'm covering my own concerns with a bit of glibness (this is my way), but this whole Fukushima mess is a worry. Watching the initial accident from the US, I felt our media took an alarmist view. I'd have to go back and watch video to decide now if I was wrong then. But as we've all learned since, the situation was and remains a lot worse than the power company and government let on. I'm not too surprised at how this information has been a slow leak itself. I don't blame Japan as an entity for this. This isn't unique. This is how officials do things just about everywhere. There are many reasons and a few of them are even nice ones, but the end result is always the same.
The three choices this time all feature their drawbacks, but a civil war next door or radiation leaking into the sea both seem insurmountable. So my guess is Madrid, the one with mostly economic troubles, will host the games this time.